Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.033788 0.039307 0.045379 0.052546 0.060764 0.069885 0.080766
2025-09-28 0.025426 0.032576 0.041160 0.052190 0.065950 0.082508 0.103903
2025-10-05 0.021255 0.029596 0.040389 0.055297 0.075256 0.100948 0.136401
2025-10-12 0.017865 0.026791 0.039135 0.057300 0.083165 0.118449 0.169964
2025-10-19 0.014355 0.023057 0.035849 0.055795 0.085825 0.128990 0.195262
2025-10-26 0.011955 0.020442 0.033629 0.055293 0.089578 0.141199 0.224061
2025-11-02 0.009850 0.017867 0.030989 0.053620 0.091129 0.150071 0.248616
2025-11-09 0.008255 0.015825 0.028833 0.052303 0.092899 0.159239 0.274356
2025-11-16 0.007164 0.014458 0.027568 0.052224 0.096565 0.171657 0.306421
2025-11-23 0.006084 0.012910 0.025727 0.050824 0.097685 0.179805 0.331996
2025-11-30 0.005635 0.012502 0.025902 0.053082 0.105525 0.200199 0.380612
2025-12-07 0.005000 0.011603 0.024996 0.053139 0.109246 0.213564 0.417906
2025-12-14 0.004288 0.010432 0.023410 0.051705 0.110061 0.221917 0.447329
2025-12-21 0.003761 0.009573 0.022336 0.051160 0.112552 0.233666 0.484341
2025-12-28 0.003579 0.009480 0.022887 0.054106 0.122480 0.260765 0.553643
2026-01-04 0.003334 0.009192 0.022961 0.056014 0.130440 0.284713 0.618949
2026-01-11 0.002895 0.008335 0.021602 0.054514 0.130860 0.293336 0.653973
2026-01-18 0.002574 0.007724 0.020730 0.054010 0.133398 0.306568 0.699730
2026-01-25 0.002235 0.006997 0.019458 0.052366 0.133124 0.313719 0.733176
2026-02-01 0.001959 0.006390 0.018393 0.051075 0.133497 0.322269 0.770375
2026-02-08 0.001770 0.006002 0.017840 0.050996 0.136749 0.337523 0.823754
2026-02-15 0.001553 0.005482 0.016846 0.049626 0.136647 0.345067 0.860315
2026-02-22 0.001490 0.005436 0.017169 0.051833 0.145832 0.375147 0.951576